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The market is now largely pricing a peak at the current Fed funds target range of 5.25-5.5%, with interest rate cuts to come next year. watch now"At the outer edges of the economy there is obvious stress that is likely to spread in 2024 with rates at these levels. So it's easy to see how bad levered investments could have been made that would be vulnerable to this higher rate regime." Recession risk 'delayed rather than diminished' In a roundtable event on Tuesday, JPMorgan Asset Management strategists echoed this note of caution, claiming that the risk of a U.S. recession was "delayed rather than diminished" as the impact of higher rates feeds through into the economy. "I think the the key conclusion here is that interest rates do still bite, it's just taking longer this time around," she said.
Persons: Victor J, Jim Reid, David Folkerts, Landau, Reid, Folkerts, GSAM, Karen Ward, it's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty, Monetary, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Global Economics, Research, Silicon Valley Bank, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, European Central Bank, Fed, ECB, JPMorgan, Management Locations: New York, Washington, U.S, Canada, Brazil, Chile, Hungary, Mexico, Peru, Poland
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
In a global risk survey carried out among 130 businesses last month by Oxford Economics, almost two fifths of respondents viewed the Israel-Hamas war as a very significant risk to the global economy over the next two years. "Deglobalisation and persistently higher oil prices, both of which could be triggered by an intensification of geopolitical tensions, are also fairly prominent in the latest survey," Oxford Economics researchers said. "Rising geopolitical tensions could trigger more trade restrictions across the globe, resulting in further economic fragmentation. "Ongoing geopolitical conflicts and tensions are likely to depress growth further, while adding to inflationary pressures that are beyond the control of central banks." "Early 2024 Taiwan elections will set the stage for the rest of the year.
Persons: Gil Cohen, Deglobalisation, Goldman, Roland Temple, Lazard Organizations: Hamas, magen, AFP, Getty, Oxford Economics, NATO, Oxford, Monetary Fund, Asset Management, West, Democratic Progressive Party, Kuomintang, KMT Locations: Gaza, Israel, China, Taiwan, Russia, U.S, South Africa, India, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Iran, Hormuz, United States, Beijing
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. The Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF has seen net inflows of more than $100 million so far this month, according to Lipper data, adding to the nearly $180 million it raked in October. Peers like the $5.5 billion iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF and $1.78 billion SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF have posted net inflows of $178.4 million and $163.6 million, respectively, since October. U.S. President Joe Biden has asked Congress to provide $106 billion in supplemental funding, with $61.4 billion for Ukraine and $14.3 billion for Israel. The U.S. Congress has approved $113 billion for Ukraine in 21 months since the start of the war.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Peers, Ashish Shah, Joe Biden, Michael Ashley Schulman, Bansari Mayur, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF, US Aerospace & Defense, P Aerospace & Defense ETF, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Israel, U.S, Congress, Running, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Europe, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Bengaluru
People who find it easiest to financially prepare for retirement have four behavioral traits, a new survey shows. Yet just 10% of workers have all of these "optimal" characteristics, according to the survey findings, from Goldman Sachs Asset Management in collaboration with Syntoniq, a behavioral finance research organization. The behaviors help retirement savers turn their intentions into action, according to the July survey of 5,261 workers and retirees. Previous Goldman Sachs research has found competing life priorities — such as the need to pay down student loans, provide care for other family members or other financial hardships — may reduce workers' retirement savings by up to 37%. The research led to the discovery of the four traits, which are "not inherently things that you would think about for retirement," Ceder said.
Persons: Syntoniq, Goldman Sachs, Gen Z, Chris Ceder, Ceder Organizations: Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Finance, Research, Greenwald Research
The top investing mind at Citi Global Wealth believes a long-awaited economic slowdown isn't around the corner — it's in the rearview mirror. Job creation is starting to slow , the investment chief noted, but lower interest rates could certainly change that. Higher earnings will be driven by lower wage growth and improved productivity from innovations like artificial intelligence, Bailin said. As for stocks, Bailin prefers funds tracking the equal-weight version of the S&P 500 as earnings rise across the board. Growth stocks have carried the market this year, and the investment chief said he continues to prefer the group to cyclicals despite his rosy economic outlook.
Persons: David Bailin, , Bailin, slowdowns, I've, Bailin doesn't, — they'll Organizations: Citi Global Wealth, Business, Investors, Federal Reserve, Citi, Goldman Sachs, Management
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI gaining 0.1% on the month and increasing 3.3% on a year-on-year basis. The rally was due to rising investor belief that the Federal Reserve will now be less likely to hike interest rates at future meetings. LINDSAY ROSNER, HEAD OF MULTI-SECTOR FIXED INCOME INVESTING, GOLDMAN SACHS ASSET MANAGEMENT, NEW YORK“Today's Core CPI print was below expectations. "The Fed will not want to step back from its hawkish stance yet; the annual core rate at 4% is still some way away from target. THOMAS HAYES, CHAIRMAN AT HEDGE FUND GREAT HILL CAPITAL, NEW YORK"We're happy to see both headline and core CPI come in lower than expected.
Persons: Hannah Beier, ” BEN JEFFERY, GREG BASSUK, ” “, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, we’ll, ” CHRIS ZACCARELLI, LINDSAY ROSNER, GOLDMAN, ” MATTHEW MISKIN, JOHN, , ” STUART COLE, Kashkari, Powell, PETER ANDERSEN, ANDERSEN, it's, THOMAS HAYES, OLIVER PURSCHE, It’s, Organizations: Reading, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, Treasury, Markets, BMO, Reserve, CPI, ALLIANCE, Fed, Global Finance, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, WALTHAM, MA, WISCONSIN, CHARLOTTE, GOLDMAN SACHS, JOHN HANCOCK, BOSTON, LONDON
Investors shouldn't expect too many changes in 2024, according to the top investing minds at Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM). GSAM strategists suggested that investors are overlooking the risk that the conflicts cause a sharp slowdown. Higher bond yields usually reflect higher risk since investors demand better compensation for going out on a limb. But it's not just junk bonds that have enticing yields — Wilson-Elizondo said debt for investment-grade firms pays mid-single-digit rates despite boasting robust fundamentals. Sophisticated investors can enhance their returns further with private credit, which Wilson-Elizondo said can offer lofty yields of 11% to 12%.
Persons: they're, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, GSAM's, Ashish Shah, Shah, David Rosenberg, Wilson, Michael Bruun, it's, Goldman Sachs, Bruun, " Bruun, — Wilson Organizations: Investors, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Federal Reserve, Consumers, BSE, Nikkei Locations: GSAM, Israel, Ukraine, India, Japan, China
Last week, Goldman Sachs inducted 608 employees into its exclusive "MD" club. But the investment bank still made a strong showing. Close to half of the new MDs work for Goldman's all-important global banking and markets (GBM) division, which houses the investment bank. Plus, it's one step removed from partner, which is the highest title at the prestigious investment bank below the C-Suite. Last week, she was one of the 186 women to be promoted to managing director at Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Goldman, There's, Chuck Schumer, Michael Bloomberg, Ilana Wolfe, Goldman Sachs Ilana Wolfe, Goldman who's, Wolfe, Stephanie Cohen, what's, She's, Fereshteh Abbasi, wasn't, Fereshteh Abbabi, Abbabi, Abbasi, I've, Matt Margolin Goldman Sachs Matt Margolin, Matt Margolin, Charles Schumer, — Margolin, Mangolin, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, VCs, Margolin, Jane Mandel Goldman Sachs Jade Mandel, Jade Mandel Organizations: Global Banking, Markets, CDC, Wealth Management, University of Pennsylvania, Stanford, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Barclays, Goldman, Goldman ' San, Asset Management Venture Capital, Growth, Equity Fund, Equity Locations: Solomon, Silicon Valley, Iran, New York, New York City, Goldman ', Goldman ' San Francisco, China, Hong Kong, Asia, America
A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. With investors confident that big central banks are likely done raising rates, focus has switched to when rate cuts will start. Traders now price in over an 80% chance of a 25 basis-points (bps) ECB cut by April, which had been fully priced for July last week. Piet Christiansen, chief analyst at Danske Bank, said the expectations for ECB rate cuts now reflected a "doom and gloom" scenario. He added the ECB would need to cut rates at least as much as traders expect next year.
Persons: Heiko Becker, BoE, Shamik Dhar, Christine Lagarde, Piet Christiansen, Lagarde, Goldman, Gurpreet Gill, Dario Perkins, Yoruk, Sumanta Sen, Kripa Jayaram, Dhara Ranasinghe, Emelia Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Traders, ECB, Fed, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, BNY Mellon Investment, Treasury, Reuters, Danske Bank, Asset Management, Lombard, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, United States, Europe, U.S, Britain, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is looking for a rate to be at for a long period of time: Goldman Sachs' Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management
People walk in the Goldman Sachs global headquarters in Manhattan, New York, U.S., November 15, 2021. Weiss joins Goldman Sachs as managing director as head of so-called "wealth customized solutions" for the U.S, according to a internal memo seen by Reuters. Goldman Sachs clients for these products include large banks' wealth management divisions, independent broker-dealers and registered independent advisors. Weiss was head of separately managed accounts (SMAs), models and portfolio consulting at BlackRock (BLK.N), according to the Goldman memo. Goldman Sachs Asset Management wants to offer tailored portfolios across both public and private asset classes, said Padi Raphael, head of third party wealth management at the bank.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Andrew Kelly, Gregory Weiss, Weiss, Goldman, Merrill Lynch, Padi Raphael, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, BlackRock, UBS, Goldman, Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York, U.S, BlackRock
A Goldman Sachs sign is seen at the New York Stock Exchange April 21, 2010. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 26 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) has launched a pair of defined outcome exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a group of products that use options strategies to offer upside exposure to stocks while cushioning downside risk. The new funds - the Goldman Sachs S&P 500 Core Premium Income (GPIX.O) and the Goldman Sachs Nasdaq 100 Core Premium Income ETF (GPIQ.O) - will use an options overlay strategy to limit downside risk and generate income, said Michael Crinieri, global head of ETFs at GSAM. Defined outcome products are a relatively new corner of the ETF landscape, although the options strategies themselves are well established. "We started looking at developing enhanced income products like these in 2005," said Monali Vora, head of wealth investment solutions at GSAM.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brendan McDermid, Michael Crinieri, Crinieri, Monali Vora, Morningstar, GSAM, Suzanne McGee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Goldman, Morningstar Direct, Thomson
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe labor market is heading to a slowing next year, says Citi's Steven WietingElizabeth Burton, client investment strategist with Goldman Sachs Asset Management, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why investors should worry about rolling recessions in specific industries, how investors should play stocks, and more.
Persons: Citi's Steven Wieting Elizabeth Burton Organizations: Goldman Sachs Asset Management
Private credit players like HPS Investment Partners and Blue Owl Capital (OWL.N) have a workaround, but it could prompt a painful hangover. Cashed-up private credit funds offered sums previously unseen outside of traditional bank financing on riskier deals. Private credit assets swelled 460% to over $1.4 trillion between 2010 and the end of 2022, Preqin says. Reuters GraphicsThe attraction of “mezz” and similar exotic lending isn’t just that it helps private credit source new deals. In 2021, that dynamic meant private loans briefly became cheaper than liquid, tradable loans – flying in the face of financial orthodoxy.
Persons: , Zendesk, Preqin, LSEG, HPS, Goldman, Blackstone, Angelo Gordon, dealmaking, George Hay, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, HPS Investment Partners, Owl, Blackstone, Apollo, Treasury, Private, Management, Partners, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Sabre, Companies, Wolf, ADC Therapeutics, Equity, Thomson Locations: EBITDA
The pandemic pushed financial giants to embrace a more casual dress code that many other corporations had begun to embrace. Diversity in dressFor some women on Wall Street, the shift from business formal to business casual has allowed them to step out of the unofficial uniform of pantsuits and sheath dresses. Lululemon in the boardroomNo Wall Streeters mentioned buying more Ferragamo ties, but many said they were leaning into athleisure. People still come in wearing their suits and ties and their Louboutins, and I'm like, 'what are we doing here?' "For a lot of client interactions, dressing business casual can make it more comfortable and can lead to a better relationship-building experience."
Persons: Luis Arteaga, Shanta Wu, Kristen Powers, Morgan Stanley, She's, Thom Browne, Anne, Victoire Auriault, Goldman Sachs, Jack Dillon, He's, David Trinh, It's, we've, Thoma Bravo, Andrew Almeida, Richard Handler, Jefferies, Katya Brozyna, I'm, Benjamin Kiflom, Neil Kamath, Sarah Sigfusson, Michael Wilkinson, Wells, Patrick McGoldrick, Laiwala, I've, Rachel Hunter, Goldman, Luna McKeon, Ricky Mewani, Dominic Rizzo, Rowe Price Organizations: Barclays, Fidelity, Vista Equity Partners, Bridgewater, Jefferies, Nike Air Force, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of, Moelis & Company, KKR, Blue Owl, Citadel Locations: Bridgewater, New York, Florida, Miami, San Francisco
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailQ4 could be choppy and disappointing on growth: Goldman Sachs' Elizabeth BurtonElizabeth Burton, client investment strategist with Goldman Sachs Asset Management, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss her view on the market setup, opportunities for portfolio diversification, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Elizabeth Burton Elizabeth Burton Organizations: Goldman Sachs Asset Management
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAs long as there's uncertainty yields will continue to move higher: Goldman Sachs' Candice TseCandice Tse, Goldman Sachs Asset Management managing director, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action, this week's messaging from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Candice Tse Candice Tse, Goldman, Jerome Powell Organizations: Asset Management
While the Federal Reserve's latest release was more hawkish than expected, the main risk the the central bank faces is tarnishing its anti-inflation credibility, which warrants favoring their hawkish reaction, said Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, deputy chief investment officer of multi-asset strategies at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. The recent rise in energy prices and resilient economic activity data likely drove the Fed's forecasts, she said. "We don't see a singular upcoming bearish catalyst, although strikes, the shutdown, and the resumption of student loan repayments collectively will sting and drive bumpiness in the data between now and their next decision," she said. "As a result, we believe that their next meeting will be live, but not a done deal." — Michelle Fox
Persons: Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, — Michelle Fox Organizations: Federal, Goldman Sachs Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNext year will be anything but average, says Goldman Sachs' Alexandra Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect for the Fed's rate decision this afternoon, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management
Goldman Sachs Asset Management discusses U.S. core inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNot surprising if U.S. core inflation doesn't fall to 2% in a year: Goldman Sachs Asset ManagementValentijn van Nieuwenhuijzen, global co-head of multi-asset solutions at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, says that's given the state of the labor market and wage trends.
Persons: Goldman, van, that's Organizations: Goldman Sachs Asset Management
Watch CNBC’s full interview with Jim O'Neill
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Jim O'NeillJim O'Neill, former Goldman Sachs Asset Management chairman and former U.K. Treasury Minister, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the global macroeconomic picture and more.
Persons: Jim O'Neill Jim O'Neill Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Management, . Treasury
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. cannot have a soft landing if the global economy continues to struggle, says Jim O'NeillJim O'Neill, former Goldman Sachs Asset Management chairman and former U.K. Treasury Minister, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the global macroeconomic picture and more.
Persons: Jim O'Neill Jim O'Neill Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Management, . Treasury
The logo for Goldman Sachs is seen on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., November 17, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Sept 6 (Reuters) - The trustees of two BAE Systems (BAES.L) pensions schemes have appointed Goldman Sachs Asset Management to manage 23 billion pounds ($28.88 billion) in defined benefit pension scheme assets, the fund manager said on Wednesday. The mandate for BAE Systems Pension Scheme and BAE Systems Executive Pension Scheme is the largest outsourced chief investment officer appointment in Britain to date, GSAM said in a statement. Pension funds are looking at ways to cut costs by outsourcing parts of their business. ($1 = 0.7964 pounds)Reporting by Carolyn Cohn; editing by Jason NeelyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Andrew Kelly, Goldman, GSAM, Carolyn Cohn, Jason Neely Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, BAE Systems, Management, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Britain
Redwood Materials, the battery and e-waste recycling startup founded by former Tesla CTO JB Straubel, announced Tuesday that it has closed a $1 billion funding round to expand operations in the U.S. The company takes spent electric vehicle batteries, breaks them down, and uses the metals from them —including nickel, copper, cobalt, and lithium — to produce new components that can go into electric vehicle batteries. One of Redwood's major goals is to produce battery components domestically to reduce some of the global trade and geopolitical risks around the electric vehicle industry. As CNBC previously reported, earlier this year Redwood locked in a $2 billion loan commitment from the Department of Energy. For its new growth funding round, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Capricorn's Technology Impact Fund, and other un-named funds advised by T. Rowe Price Associates led the deal, according to a company statement.
Persons: JB Straubel, Redwood, Straubel, Energy Jennifer M, Granholm, Goldman, Rowe Price Organizations: Materials, U.S, CNBC, Department of Energy, Energy, Energy Information Administration, Argonne National Laboratory, Asset Management, Technology, Fund, Rowe Price Associates, Caterpillar Inc, Innovation Fund Locations: U.S, Carson City , Nevada, Charleston , South Carolina . U.S, Argonne
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